{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 5 Jun 2014, 11:34:49
{txt}
{com}. 
. **** AJPS FINAL RESULTS ****
. 
. *** TABLE 1 MAIN RESULTS ***
. 
. ***BECKMANN BASELINE ***
. 
. 
. probit winner pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events , robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-510.06395}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-421.35994}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-420.94367}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-420.94353}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-420.94353}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       769
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}    145.80
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-420.94353{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1747

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.308606{col 26}{space 2} .5691609{col 37}{space 1}   -2.30{col 46}{space 3}0.021{col 54}{space 4}-2.424141{col 67}{space 3}-.1930707
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.288418{col 26}{space 2} .5225582{col 37}{space 1}   -2.47{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}-2.312613{col 67}{space 3}-.2642227
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .46329{col 26}{space 2} .0658181{col 37}{space 1}    7.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3342888{col 67}{space 3} .5922911
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0298093{col 26}{space 2} .0104946{col 37}{space 1}    2.84{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} .0092402{col 67}{space 3} .0503784
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2336777{col 26}{space 2} .1709424{col 37}{space 1}   -1.37{col 46}{space 3}0.172{col 54}{space 4}-.5687185{col 67}{space 3} .1013632
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2278102{col 26}{space 2} .1621337{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.160{col 54}{space 4}-.0899659{col 67}{space 3} .5455864
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0541692{col 26}{space 2} .2711686{col 37}{space 1}   -0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.842{col 54}{space 4}-.5856499{col 67}{space 3} .4773114
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1420465{col 26}{space 2} .0883486{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.108{col 54}{space 4}-.0311137{col 67}{space 3} .3152066
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2743125{col 26}{space 2} .0659771{col 37}{space 1}    4.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1449998{col 67}{space 3} .4036252
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0952039{col 26}{space 2} .0345514{col 37}{space 1}    2.76{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .0274844{col 67}{space 3} .1629233
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6334216{col 26}{space 2} .8134101{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.436{col 54}{space 4}-.9608329{col 67}{space 3} 2.227676
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. outreg using "/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14Table1.doc" , replace
{res}
{txt}{center:{hline 31}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 11:pres2hmed}{res}{center 10:-1.309}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.30)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:pres2fb}{res}{center 10:-1.288}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.47)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:whlobby3}{res}{center 10:0.463}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(7.04)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:salience}{res}{center 10:0.030}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.84)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:keyvote}{res}{center 10:-0.234}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.37)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:honey}{res}{center 10:0.228}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.41)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:lameduck}{res}{center 10:-0.054}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.20)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:tenure}{res}{center 10:0.142}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.61)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:capavg3}{res}{center 10:0.274}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(4.16)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:events}{res}{center 10:0.095}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.76)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:_cons}{res}{center 10:0.633}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.78)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:N}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:769}}
{txt}{center:{hline 31}}
{txt}{center:* p<0.05; ** p<0.01}


{com}. 
. 
. *** ADDING FP SUPPORT & CASUALTIES ANNUAL DATA ***
. 
. 
. 
. probit winner ysup2log FPpollyr ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-404.27797}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.67701}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.67653}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-403.67653}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}    167.81
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-403.67653{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1855

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ysup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0139806{col 26}{space 2} .0067273{col 37}{space 1}    2.08{col 46}{space 3}0.038{col 54}{space 4} .0007953{col 67}{space 3} .0271658
{txt}{space 4}FPpollyr {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.16648{col 26}{space 2} .4562105{col 37}{space 1}   -2.56{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4}-2.060636{col 67}{space 3} -.272324
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0594643{col 26}{space 2} .0192728{col 37}{space 1}    3.09{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0216904{col 67}{space 3} .0972383
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.438459{col 26}{space 2} .7845947{col 37}{space 1}   -1.83{col 46}{space 3}0.067{col 54}{space 4}-2.976236{col 67}{space 3} .0993185
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.567911{col 26}{space 2} .7101348{col 37}{space 1}   -2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4}-2.959749{col 67}{space 3} -.176072
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4563748{col 26}{space 2} .0636131{col 37}{space 1}    7.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3316955{col 67}{space 3} .5810542
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0220678{col 26}{space 2} .0096323{col 37}{space 1}    2.29{col 46}{space 3}0.022{col 54}{space 4} .0031888{col 67}{space 3} .0409468
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1514635{col 26}{space 2}  .175325{col 37}{space 1}   -0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.388{col 54}{space 4}-.4950942{col 67}{space 3} .1921672
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1076602{col 26}{space 2} .1869969{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.565{col 54}{space 4}-.2588469{col 67}{space 3} .4741673
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .195914{col 26}{space 2} .3002926{col 37}{space 1}    0.65{col 46}{space 3}0.514{col 54}{space 4}-.3926487{col 67}{space 3} .7844767
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1351614{col 26}{space 2}  .088941{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-.0391597{col 67}{space 3} .3094826
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2443665{col 26}{space 2} .0703755{col 37}{space 1}    3.47{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}  .106433{col 67}{space 3}    .3823
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1049114{col 26}{space 2} .0365251{col 37}{space 1}    2.87{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} .0333236{col 67}{space 3} .1764993
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.350831{col 26}{space 2} .8988572{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.133{col 54}{space 4}-.4108965{col 67}{space 3} 3.112559
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. outreg using "/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14Table1.doc" , merge replace
{res}
{txt}{center:{hline 41}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 11:pres2hmed}{res}{center 10:-1.309}{res}{center 10:-1.438}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.30)*}{res}{center 10:(1.83)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:pres2fb}{res}{center 10:-1.288}{res}{center 10:-1.568}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.47)*}{res}{center 10:(2.21)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:whlobby3}{res}{center 10:0.463}{res}{center 10:0.456}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(7.04)**}{res}{center 10:(7.17)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:salience}{res}{center 10:0.030}{res}{center 10:0.022}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.84)**}{res}{center 10:(2.29)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:keyvote}{res}{center 10:-0.234}{res}{center 10:-0.151}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.37)}{res}{center 10:(0.86)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:honey}{res}{center 10:0.228}{res}{center 10:0.108}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.41)}{res}{center 10:(0.58)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:lameduck}{res}{center 10:-0.054}{res}{center 10:0.196}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.20)}{res}{center 10:(0.65)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:tenure}{res}{center 10:0.142}{res}{center 10:0.135}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.61)}{res}{center 10:(1.52)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:capavg3}{res}{center 10:0.274}{res}{center 10:0.244}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(4.16)**}{res}{center 10:(3.47)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:events}{res}{center 10:0.095}{res}{center 10:0.105}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.76)**}{res}{center 10:(2.87)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 11:ysup2log}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.014}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.08)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:FPpollyr}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-1.166}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.56)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:ycaslog}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.059}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(3.09)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:_cons}{res}{center 10:0.633}{res}{center 10:1.351}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.78)}{res}{center 10:(1.50)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:N}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:769}{res}{center 10:744}}
{txt}{center:{hline 41}}
{txt}{center:* p<0.05; ** p<0.01}


{com}. 
. 
. *** ADDING FP SUPPORT & CASUALTIES CONGRESSIONAL DATA ***
. 
. 
. 
. probit winner csup2log FPpollcong ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-404.85224}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-404.30004}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-404.29971}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-404.29971}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}    164.78
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-404.29971{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1843

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}csup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0236547{col 26}{space 2} .0090663{col 37}{space 1}    2.61{col 46}{space 3}0.009{col 54}{space 4} .0058851{col 67}{space 3} .0414242
{txt}{space 2}FPpollcong {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.332144{col 26}{space 2} .6308985{col 37}{space 1}   -2.11{col 46}{space 3}0.035{col 54}{space 4}-2.568683{col 67}{space 3}-.0956062
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .082602{col 26}{space 2}  .026881{col 37}{space 1}    3.07{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0299163{col 67}{space 3} .1352876
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.397398{col 26}{space 2} .8424449{col 37}{space 1}   -1.66{col 46}{space 3}0.097{col 54}{space 4}-3.048559{col 67}{space 3}  .253764
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.767409{col 26}{space 2} 1.044677{col 37}{space 1}   -2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4}-4.814938{col 67}{space 3}-.7198806
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4510335{col 26}{space 2} .0644416{col 37}{space 1}    7.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3247303{col 67}{space 3} .5773368
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0218645{col 26}{space 2} .0102408{col 37}{space 1}    2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.033{col 54}{space 4} .0017929{col 67}{space 3}  .041936
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1408322{col 26}{space 2} .1792533{col 37}{space 1}   -0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.432{col 54}{space 4}-.4921621{col 67}{space 3} .2104978
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1131037{col 26}{space 2} .2101327{col 37}{space 1}   -0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.590{col 54}{space 4}-.5249562{col 67}{space 3} .2987488
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5097238{col 26}{space 2} .3500171{col 37}{space 1}    1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.145{col 54}{space 4} -.176297{col 67}{space 3} 1.195745
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0309193{col 26}{space 2} .0931044{col 37}{space 1}    0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.740{col 54}{space 4} -.151562{col 67}{space 3} .2134006
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2535343{col 26}{space 2}  .071966{col 37}{space 1}    3.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1124835{col 67}{space 3} .3945852
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0563632{col 26}{space 2} .0378959{col 37}{space 1}    1.49{col 46}{space 3}0.137{col 54}{space 4}-.0179114{col 67}{space 3} .1306379
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.681518{col 26}{space 2} 1.107204{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .5114379{col 67}{space 3} 4.851598
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. outreg using "/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14Table1c.doc" , merge replace
{res}
{txt}{center:{hline 52}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 12:pres2hmed}{res}{center 10:-1.309}{res}{center 10:-1.438}{res}{center 10:-1.397}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(2.30)*}{res}{center 10:(1.83)}{res}{center 10:(1.66)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:pres2fb}{res}{center 10:-1.288}{res}{center 10:-1.568}{res}{center 10:-2.767}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(2.47)*}{res}{center 10:(2.21)*}{res}{center 10:(2.65)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:whlobby3}{res}{center 10:0.463}{res}{center 10:0.456}{res}{center 10:0.451}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(7.04)**}{res}{center 10:(7.17)**}{res}{center 10:(7.00)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:salience}{res}{center 10:0.030}{res}{center 10:0.022}{res}{center 10:0.022}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(2.84)**}{res}{center 10:(2.29)*}{res}{center 10:(2.14)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:keyvote}{res}{center 10:-0.234}{res}{center 10:-0.151}{res}{center 10:-0.141}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.37)}{res}{center 10:(0.86)}{res}{center 10:(0.79)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:honey}{res}{center 10:0.228}{res}{center 10:0.108}{res}{center 10:-0.113}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.41)}{res}{center 10:(0.58)}{res}{center 10:(0.54)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:lameduck}{res}{center 10:-0.054}{res}{center 10:0.196}{res}{center 10:0.510}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.20)}{res}{center 10:(0.65)}{res}{center 10:(1.46)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:tenure}{res}{center 10:0.142}{res}{center 10:0.135}{res}{center 10:0.031}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.61)}{res}{center 10:(1.52)}{res}{center 10:(0.33)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:capavg3}{res}{center 10:0.274}{res}{center 10:0.244}{res}{center 10:0.254}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(4.16)**}{res}{center 10:(3.47)**}{res}{center 10:(3.52)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:events}{res}{center 10:0.095}{res}{center 10:0.105}{res}{center 10:0.056}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(2.76)**}{res}{center 10:(2.87)**}{res}{center 10:(1.49)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 12:ysup2log}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.014}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.08)*}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:FPpollyr}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-1.166}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.56)*}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:ycaslog}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.059}{res}{center 10:0.083}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(3.09)**}{res}{center 10:(3.07)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 12:csup2log}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.024}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.61)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:FPpollcong}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-1.332}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.11)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:_cons}{res}{center 10:0.633}{res}{center 10:1.351}{res}{center 10:2.682}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.78)}{res}{center 10:(1.50)}{res}{center 10:(2.42)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:N}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:769}{res}{center 10:744}{res}{center 10:744}}
{txt}{center:{hline 52}}
{txt}{center:* p<0.05; ** p<0.01}


{com}. 
. 
. *** TABLE 2 ROBUSTNESS TESTS ***
. 
. 
. ***** PRESIDENTIAL CONTROLS ANNUAL AND CONGRESSIONAL DATA ***
. 
. probit winner ysup2log FPpollyr ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events jfk jfklbj lbj nixon nixfrd ford carter bush41 clinton bush43 if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-396.52623}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.43064}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.42771}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.42771}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}23{txt}){col 67}= {res}    255.62
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-395.42771{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2022

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ysup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0137072{col 26}{space 2} .0073308{col 37}{space 1}    1.87{col 46}{space 3}0.062{col 54}{space 4}-.0006608{col 67}{space 3} .0280752
{txt}{space 4}FPpollyr {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9185192{col 26}{space 2} .5312903{col 37}{space 1}   -1.73{col 46}{space 3}0.084{col 54}{space 4}-1.959829{col 67}{space 3} .1227906
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.006484{col 26}{space 2} .0424605{col 37}{space 1}   -0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.879{col 54}{space 4}-.0897051{col 67}{space 3} .0767372
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -2.04306{col 26}{space 2} 1.210578{col 37}{space 1}   -1.69{col 46}{space 3}0.091{col 54}{space 4}-4.415749{col 67}{space 3}  .329629
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.770314{col 26}{space 2} 1.590506{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.266{col 54}{space 4} -1.34702{col 67}{space 3} 4.887648
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4431427{col 26}{space 2} .0678812{col 37}{space 1}    6.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .310098{col 67}{space 3} .5761873
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .021065{col 26}{space 2} .0094616{col 37}{space 1}    2.23{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .0025207{col 67}{space 3} .0396094
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1507793{col 26}{space 2} .1709936{col 37}{space 1}   -0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.378{col 54}{space 4}-.4859205{col 67}{space 3} .1843619
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1393818{col 26}{space 2} .3770024{col 37}{space 1}   -0.37{col 46}{space 3}0.712{col 54}{space 4}-.8782929{col 67}{space 3} .5995294
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4401805{col 26}{space 2} .4078388{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.280{col 54}{space 4}-.3591688{col 67}{space 3}  1.23953
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2480441{col 26}{space 2}  .199799{col 37}{space 1}   -1.24{col 46}{space 3}0.214{col 54}{space 4} -.639643{col 67}{space 3} .1435549
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1712668{col 26}{space 2}  .100066{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.087{col 54}{space 4}-.0248588{col 67}{space 3} .3673925
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0591185{col 26}{space 2} .0517127{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.253{col 54}{space 4}-.0422364{col 67}{space 3} .1604735
{txt}{space 9}jfk {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3672322{col 26}{space 2} .2931044{col 37}{space 1}   -1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.210{col 54}{space 4}-.9417062{col 67}{space 3} .2072418
{txt}{space 6}jfklbj {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2509708{col 26}{space 2} .4528398{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.579{col 54}{space 4}-.6365789{col 67}{space 3} 1.138521
{txt}{space 9}lbj {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.402328{col 26}{space 2} .5078324{col 37}{space 1}    2.76{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4} .4069946{col 67}{space 3} 2.397661
{txt}{space 7}nixon {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3817724{col 26}{space 2} .4342335{col 37}{space 1}   -0.88{col 46}{space 3}0.379{col 54}{space 4}-1.232854{col 67}{space 3} .4693096
{txt}{space 6}nixfrd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8756708{col 26}{space 2} .6347019{col 37}{space 1}   -1.38{col 46}{space 3}0.168{col 54}{space 4}-2.119664{col 67}{space 3} .3683221
{txt}{space 8}ford {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4331592{col 26}{space 2} .4582023{col 37}{space 1}   -0.95{col 46}{space 3}0.344{col 54}{space 4}-1.331219{col 67}{space 3} .4649008
{txt}{space 6}carter {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5810863{col 26}{space 2} .3042522{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.056{col 54}{space 4} -.015237{col 67}{space 3}  1.17741
{txt}{space 6}bush41 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3908828{col 26}{space 2} .2500669{col 37}{space 1}   -1.56{col 46}{space 3}0.118{col 54}{space 4}-.8810048{col 67}{space 3} .0992392
{txt}{space 5}clinton {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2092606{col 26}{space 2} .1931137{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.279{col 54}{space 4}-.1692353{col 67}{space 3} .5877565
{txt}{space 6}bush43 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8367013{col 26}{space 2} .7742362{col 37}{space 1}   -1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.280{col 54}{space 4}-2.354176{col 67}{space 3} .6807738
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9317698{col 26}{space 2} 1.522494{col 37}{space 1}   -0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.541{col 54}{space 4}-3.915802{col 67}{space 3} 2.052263
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. outreg using "/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14Table2.doc" , replace
{res}
{txt}{center:{hline 31}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 11:ysup2log}{res}{center 10:0.014}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.87)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:FPpollyr}{res}{center 10:-0.919}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.73)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:ycaslog}{res}{center 10:-0.006}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.15)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:pres2hmed}{res}{center 10:-2.043}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.69)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:pres2fb}{res}{center 10:1.770}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.11)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:whlobby3}{res}{center 10:0.443}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(6.53)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:salience}{res}{center 10:0.021}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.23)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:keyvote}{res}{center 10:-0.151}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:honey}{res}{center 10:-0.139}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.37)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:lameduck}{res}{center 10:0.440}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:tenure}{res}{center 10:-0.248}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.24)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:capavg3}{res}{center 10:0.171}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.71)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:events}{res}{center 10:0.059}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.14)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:jfk}{res}{center 10:-0.367}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.25)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:jfklbj}{res}{center 10:0.251}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.55)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:lbj}{res}{center 10:1.402}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(2.76)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:nixon}{res}{center 10:-0.382}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:nixfrd}{res}{center 10:-0.876}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.38)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:ford}{res}{center 10:-0.433}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.95)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:carter}{res}{center 10:0.581}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.91)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:bush41}{res}{center 10:-0.391}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.56)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:clinton}{res}{center 10:0.209}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:bush43}{res}{center 10:-0.837}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:_cons}{res}{center 10:-0.932}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:(0.61)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:N}{txt}{lalign 11:}{res}{center 10:744}}
{txt}{center:{hline 31}}
{txt}{center:* p<0.05; ** p<0.01}


{com}. 
. 
. 
. probit winner csup2log FPpollcong ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events jfk jfklbj lbj nixon nixfrd ford carter bush41 clinton bush43 if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-396.29743}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.02118}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.01645}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-395.01645}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}23{txt}){col 67}= {res}    274.52
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-395.01645{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.2030

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}csup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0264991{col 26}{space 2} .0118262{col 37}{space 1}    2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0033201{col 67}{space 3}  .049678
{txt}{space 2}FPpollcong {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9079725{col 26}{space 2} .7863122{col 37}{space 1}   -1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.248{col 54}{space 4}-2.449116{col 67}{space 3} .6331711
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .027471{col 26}{space 2} .0415486{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.508{col 54}{space 4}-.0539627{col 67}{space 3} .1089047
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6206832{col 26}{space 2} 1.536688{col 37}{space 1}   -0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.686{col 54}{space 4}-3.632536{col 67}{space 3} 2.391169
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -1.2998{col 26}{space 2}  2.36007{col 37}{space 1}   -0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.582{col 54}{space 4}-5.925452{col 67}{space 3} 3.325851
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4283689{col 26}{space 2} .0668767{col 37}{space 1}    6.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .297293{col 67}{space 3} .5594449
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0211975{col 26}{space 2} .0096078{col 37}{space 1}    2.21{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4} .0023666{col 67}{space 3} .0400284
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1376284{col 26}{space 2} .1737632{col 37}{space 1}   -0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.428{col 54}{space 4} -.478198{col 67}{space 3} .2029412
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1727327{col 26}{space 2} .3868669{col 37}{space 1}   -0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.655{col 54}{space 4}-.9309778{col 67}{space 3} .5855125
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8723254{col 26}{space 2} .5485318{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.112{col 54}{space 4}-.2027771{col 67}{space 3} 1.947428
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2789882{col 26}{space 2} .2059777{col 37}{space 1}   -1.35{col 46}{space 3}0.176{col 54}{space 4} -.682697{col 67}{space 3} .1247205
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3214042{col 26}{space 2} .1262027{col 37}{space 1}    2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} .0740514{col 67}{space 3} .5687569
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0459488{col 26}{space 2} .0517611{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.375{col 54}{space 4} -.055501{col 67}{space 3} .1473987
{txt}{space 9}jfk {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5669943{col 26}{space 2}  .307282{col 37}{space 1}   -1.85{col 46}{space 3}0.065{col 54}{space 4}-1.169256{col 67}{space 3} .0352674
{txt}{space 6}jfklbj {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0131661{col 26}{space 2} .4500693{col 37}{space 1}   -0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.977{col 54}{space 4}-.8952858{col 67}{space 3} .8689536
{txt}{space 9}lbj {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.333766{col 26}{space 2} .4980308{col 37}{space 1}    2.68{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .3576438{col 67}{space 3} 2.309889
{txt}{space 7}nixon {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0543913{col 26}{space 2} .5448231{col 37}{space 1}    0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.920{col 54}{space 4}-1.013442{col 67}{space 3} 1.122225
{txt}{space 6}nixfrd {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2269797{col 26}{space 2} .6721634{col 37}{space 1}   -0.34{col 46}{space 3}0.736{col 54}{space 4}-1.544396{col 67}{space 3} 1.090436
{txt}{space 8}ford {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0508553{col 26}{space 2}  .519683{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.922{col 54}{space 4}-1.069415{col 67}{space 3} .9677048
{txt}{space 6}carter {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7968943{col 26}{space 2} .3178473{col 37}{space 1}    2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .1739249{col 67}{space 3} 1.419864
{txt}{space 6}bush41 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3155327{col 26}{space 2} .2417951{col 37}{space 1}   -1.30{col 46}{space 3}0.192{col 54}{space 4}-.7894425{col 67}{space 3} .1583771
{txt}{space 5}clinton {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1291466{col 26}{space 2} .1946662{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.507{col 54}{space 4}-.2523922{col 67}{space 3} .5106853
{txt}{space 6}bush43 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2250329{col 26}{space 2} .7778148{col 37}{space 1}   -0.29{col 46}{space 3}0.772{col 54}{space 4}-1.749522{col 67}{space 3} 1.299456
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0929193{col 26}{space 2}  1.72415{col 37}{space 1}    0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.957{col 54}{space 4}-3.286352{col 67}{space 3} 3.472191
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. outreg using "/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14Table2.doc" , merge replace
{res}
{txt}{center:{hline 42}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 12:ysup2log}{res}{center 10:0.014}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.87)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:FPpollyr}{res}{center 10:-0.919}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.73)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:ycaslog}{res}{center 10:-0.006}{res}{center 10:0.027}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.15)}{res}{center 10:(0.66)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:pres2hmed}{res}{center 10:-2.043}{res}{center 10:-0.621}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.69)}{res}{center 10:(0.40)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:pres2fb}{res}{center 10:1.770}{res}{center 10:-1.300}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.11)}{res}{center 10:(0.55)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:whlobby3}{res}{center 10:0.443}{res}{center 10:0.428}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(6.53)**}{res}{center 10:(6.41)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:salience}{res}{center 10:0.021}{res}{center 10:0.021}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(2.23)*}{res}{center 10:(2.21)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:keyvote}{res}{center 10:-0.151}{res}{center 10:-0.138}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}{res}{center 10:(0.79)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:honey}{res}{center 10:-0.139}{res}{center 10:-0.173}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.37)}{res}{center 10:(0.45)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:lameduck}{res}{center 10:0.440}{res}{center 10:0.872}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(1.59)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:tenure}{res}{center 10:-0.248}{res}{center 10:-0.279}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.24)}{res}{center 10:(1.35)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:capavg3}{res}{center 10:0.171}{res}{center 10:0.321}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.71)}{res}{center 10:(2.55)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:events}{res}{center 10:0.059}{res}{center 10:0.046}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.14)}{res}{center 10:(0.89)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:jfk}{res}{center 10:-0.367}{res}{center 10:-0.567}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.25)}{res}{center 10:(1.85)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:jfklbj}{res}{center 10:0.251}{res}{center 10:-0.013}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.55)}{res}{center 10:(0.03)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:lbj}{res}{center 10:1.402}{res}{center 10:1.334}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(2.76)**}{res}{center 10:(2.68)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:nixon}{res}{center 10:-0.382}{res}{center 10:0.054}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}{res}{center 10:(0.10)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:nixfrd}{res}{center 10:-0.876}{res}{center 10:-0.227}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.38)}{res}{center 10:(0.34)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:ford}{res}{center 10:-0.433}{res}{center 10:-0.051}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.95)}{res}{center 10:(0.10)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:carter}{res}{center 10:0.581}{res}{center 10:0.797}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.91)}{res}{center 10:(2.51)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:bush41}{res}{center 10:-0.391}{res}{center 10:-0.316}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.56)}{res}{center 10:(1.30)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:clinton}{res}{center 10:0.209}{res}{center 10:0.129}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(0.66)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:bush43}{res}{center 10:-0.837}{res}{center 10:-0.225}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(0.29)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 12:csup2log}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.026}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.24)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:FPpollcong}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.908}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(1.15)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:_cons}{res}{center 10:-0.932}{res}{center 10:0.093}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:(0.61)}{res}{center 10:(0.05)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:N}{txt}{lalign 12:}{res}{center 10:744}{res}{center 10:744}}
{txt}{center:{hline 42}}
{txt}{center:* p<0.05; ** p<0.01}


{com}. 
. 
. *** ISSUE CONTROLS ANNUAL AND CONGRESSIONAL DATA ***
. 
. probit winner ysup2log FPpollyr ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events civilrights energy health welfare housing education if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.65541}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-398.88476}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-398.88385}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-398.88385}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(18)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-398.88385{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1952

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ysup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0139147{col 26}{space 2} .0068471{col 37}{space 1}    2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4} .0004946{col 67}{space 3} .0273348
{txt}{space 4}FPpollyr {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.171877{col 26}{space 2}  .460181{col 37}{space 1}   -2.55{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4}-2.073816{col 67}{space 3}-.2699393
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0629668{col 26}{space 2} .0189431{col 37}{space 1}    3.32{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0258391{col 67}{space 3} .1000946
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.356933{col 26}{space 2} .7959639{col 37}{space 1}   -1.70{col 46}{space 3}0.088{col 54}{space 4}-2.916994{col 67}{space 3} .2031276
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.634012{col 26}{space 2} .7246084{col 37}{space 1}   -2.26{col 46}{space 3}0.024{col 54}{space 4}-3.054218{col 67}{space 3}-.2138056
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4502638{col 26}{space 2} .0635425{col 37}{space 1}    7.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3257228{col 67}{space 3} .5748049
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0199369{col 26}{space 2} .0101193{col 37}{space 1}    1.97{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4} .0001034{col 67}{space 3} .0397704
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1968921{col 26}{space 2} .1642757{col 37}{space 1}   -1.20{col 46}{space 3}0.231{col 54}{space 4}-.5188666{col 67}{space 3} .1250823
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1022016{col 26}{space 2} .1877142{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.586{col 54}{space 4}-.2657114{col 67}{space 3} .4701147
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2273796{col 26}{space 2} .3002555{col 37}{space 1}    0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.449{col 54}{space 4}-.3611104{col 67}{space 3} .8158696
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1303125{col 26}{space 2} .0891387{col 37}{space 1}    1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.144{col 54}{space 4}-.0443962{col 67}{space 3} .3050211
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2528895{col 26}{space 2} .0707817{col 37}{space 1}    3.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1141599{col 67}{space 3} .3916191
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1105944{col 26}{space 2} .0372671{col 37}{space 1}    2.97{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0375522{col 67}{space 3} .1836365
{txt}{space 1}civilrights {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6759498{col 26}{space 2} .1788831{col 37}{space 1}   -3.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.026554{col 67}{space 3}-.3253454
{txt}{space 6}energy {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4130185{col 26}{space 2} .1538022{col 37}{space 1}   -2.69{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}-.7144653{col 67}{space 3}-.1115717
{txt}{space 6}health {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6375585{col 26}{space 2} .1462564{col 37}{space 1}   -4.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9242157{col 67}{space 3}-.3509013
{txt}{space 5}welfare {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3154785{col 26}{space 2}  .159183{col 37}{space 1}   -1.98{col 46}{space 3}0.047{col 54}{space 4}-.6274716{col 67}{space 3}-.0034855
{txt}{space 5}housing {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3662483{col 26}{space 2} .1335008{col 37}{space 1}   -2.74{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}-.6279052{col 67}{space 3}-.1045915
{txt}{space 3}education {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3346622{col 26}{space 2} .1196905{col 37}{space 1}   -2.80{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-.5692513{col 67}{space 3}-.1000732
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.789795{col 26}{space 2} .9363896{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.056{col 54}{space 4}-.0454951{col 67}{space 3} 3.625085
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. outreg using "/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14Table2.doc" , merge replace
{res}
{txt}{center:{hline 53}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 13:ysup2log}{res}{center 10:0.014}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.014}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.87)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.03)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:FPpollyr}{res}{center 10:-0.919}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-1.172}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.73)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.55)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:ycaslog}{res}{center 10:-0.006}{res}{center 10:0.027}{res}{center 10:0.063}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.15)}{res}{center 10:(0.66)}{res}{center 10:(3.32)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:pres2hmed}{res}{center 10:-2.043}{res}{center 10:-0.621}{res}{center 10:-1.357}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.69)}{res}{center 10:(0.40)}{res}{center 10:(1.70)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:pres2fb}{res}{center 10:1.770}{res}{center 10:-1.300}{res}{center 10:-1.634}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.11)}{res}{center 10:(0.55)}{res}{center 10:(2.26)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:whlobby3}{res}{center 10:0.443}{res}{center 10:0.428}{res}{center 10:0.450}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(6.53)**}{res}{center 10:(6.41)**}{res}{center 10:(7.09)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:salience}{res}{center 10:0.021}{res}{center 10:0.021}{res}{center 10:0.020}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(2.23)*}{res}{center 10:(2.21)*}{res}{center 10:(1.97)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:keyvote}{res}{center 10:-0.151}{res}{center 10:-0.138}{res}{center 10:-0.197}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}{res}{center 10:(0.79)}{res}{center 10:(1.20)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:honey}{res}{center 10:-0.139}{res}{center 10:-0.173}{res}{center 10:0.102}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.37)}{res}{center 10:(0.45)}{res}{center 10:(0.54)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:lameduck}{res}{center 10:0.440}{res}{center 10:0.872}{res}{center 10:0.227}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(1.59)}{res}{center 10:(0.76)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:tenure}{res}{center 10:-0.248}{res}{center 10:-0.279}{res}{center 10:0.130}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.24)}{res}{center 10:(1.35)}{res}{center 10:(1.46)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:capavg3}{res}{center 10:0.171}{res}{center 10:0.321}{res}{center 10:0.253}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.71)}{res}{center 10:(2.55)*}{res}{center 10:(3.57)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:events}{res}{center 10:0.059}{res}{center 10:0.046}{res}{center 10:0.111}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.14)}{res}{center 10:(0.89)}{res}{center 10:(2.97)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:jfk}{res}{center 10:-0.367}{res}{center 10:-0.567}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.25)}{res}{center 10:(1.85)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:jfklbj}{res}{center 10:0.251}{res}{center 10:-0.013}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.55)}{res}{center 10:(0.03)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:lbj}{res}{center 10:1.402}{res}{center 10:1.334}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(2.76)**}{res}{center 10:(2.68)**}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:nixon}{res}{center 10:-0.382}{res}{center 10:0.054}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}{res}{center 10:(0.10)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:nixfrd}{res}{center 10:-0.876}{res}{center 10:-0.227}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.38)}{res}{center 10:(0.34)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:ford}{res}{center 10:-0.433}{res}{center 10:-0.051}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.95)}{res}{center 10:(0.10)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:carter}{res}{center 10:0.581}{res}{center 10:0.797}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.91)}{res}{center 10:(2.51)*}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:bush41}{res}{center 10:-0.391}{res}{center 10:-0.316}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.56)}{res}{center 10:(1.30)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:clinton}{res}{center 10:0.209}{res}{center 10:0.129}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(0.66)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:bush43}{res}{center 10:-0.837}{res}{center 10:-0.225}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(0.29)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 13:csup2log}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.026}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.24)*}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:FPpollcong}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.908}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(1.15)}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:civilrights}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.676}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(3.78)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:energy}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.413}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.69)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:health}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.638}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(4.36)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:welfare}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.315}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(1.98)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:housing}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.366}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.74)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:education}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.335}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.80)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:_cons}{res}{center 10:-0.932}{res}{center 10:0.093}{res}{center 10:1.790}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.61)}{res}{center 10:(0.05)}{res}{center 10:(1.91)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:N}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:744}{res}{center 10:744}{res}{center 10:744}}
{txt}{center:{hline 53}}
{txt}{center:* p<0.05; ** p<0.01}


{com}. 
. 
. 
. probit winner csup2log FPpollcong ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events civilrights energy health welfare housing education if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -400.4961}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res: -399.7988}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.79817}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-399.79817}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}{help j_robustsingular##|_new:Wald chi2(18)}{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}=          {res}.
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-399.79817{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1934

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}csup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .023133{col 26}{space 2} .0092452{col 37}{space 1}    2.50{col 46}{space 3}0.012{col 54}{space 4} .0050128{col 67}{space 3} .0412532
{txt}{space 2}FPpollcong {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.310918{col 26}{space 2} .6403244{col 37}{space 1}   -2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.041{col 54}{space 4} -2.56593{col 67}{space 3}-.0559048
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0849491{col 26}{space 2} .0268743{col 37}{space 1}    3.16{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} .0322765{col 67}{space 3} .1376217
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.313528{col 26}{space 2} .8568552{col 37}{space 1}   -1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.125{col 54}{space 4}-2.992933{col 67}{space 3} .3658777
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.805493{col 26}{space 2}  1.05963{col 37}{space 1}   -2.65{col 46}{space 3}0.008{col 54}{space 4} -4.88233{col 67}{space 3}-.7286552
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4448083{col 26}{space 2} .0643294{col 37}{space 1}    6.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  .318725{col 67}{space 3} .5708916
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0196446{col 26}{space 2}  .010579{col 37}{space 1}    1.86{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}-.0010898{col 67}{space 3} .0403791
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1847389{col 26}{space 2} .1674731{col 37}{space 1}   -1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-.5129802{col 67}{space 3} .1435024
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1134322{col 26}{space 2} .2102713{col 37}{space 1}   -0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.590{col 54}{space 4}-.5255564{col 67}{space 3}  .298692
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5308415{col 26}{space 2} .3471565{col 37}{space 1}    1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.126{col 54}{space 4}-.1495728{col 67}{space 3} 1.211256
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0261277{col 26}{space 2} .0915215{col 37}{space 1}    0.29{col 46}{space 3}0.775{col 54}{space 4}-.1532511{col 67}{space 3} .2055066
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2620903{col 26}{space 2} .0721907{col 37}{space 1}    3.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .1205992{col 67}{space 3} .4035814
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0616691{col 26}{space 2} .0388765{col 37}{space 1}    1.59{col 46}{space 3}0.113{col 54}{space 4}-.0145275{col 67}{space 3} .1378657
{txt}{space 1}civilrights {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6903953{col 26}{space 2} .1753193{col 37}{space 1}   -3.94{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.034015{col 67}{space 3}-.3467758
{txt}{space 6}energy {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4410862{col 26}{space 2} .1573228{col 37}{space 1}   -2.80{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4}-.7494333{col 67}{space 3}-.1327392
{txt}{space 6}health {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6295838{col 26}{space 2} .1508607{col 37}{space 1}   -4.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-.9252654{col 67}{space 3}-.3339022
{txt}{space 5}welfare {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3113091{col 26}{space 2} .1622863{col 37}{space 1}   -1.92{col 46}{space 3}0.055{col 54}{space 4}-.6293843{col 67}{space 3} .0067661
{txt}{space 5}housing {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3957899{col 26}{space 2} .1425703{col 37}{space 1}   -2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.006{col 54}{space 4}-.6752227{col 67}{space 3}-.1163572
{txt}{space 3}education {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.3537316{col 26}{space 2} .1166493{col 37}{space 1}   -3.03{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-.5823601{col 67}{space 3}-.1251031
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.102882{col 26}{space 2} 1.149378{col 37}{space 1}    2.70{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .8501422{col 67}{space 3} 5.355621
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. outreg using "/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14Table2.doc" , merge replace
{res}
{txt}{center:{hline 63}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 13:ysup2log}{res}{center 10:0.014}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.014}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.87)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.03)*}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:FPpollyr}{res}{center 10:-0.919}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-1.172}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.73)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.55)*}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:ycaslog}{res}{center 10:-0.006}{res}{center 10:0.027}{res}{center 10:0.063}{res}{center 10:0.085}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.15)}{res}{center 10:(0.66)}{res}{center 10:(3.32)**}{res}{center 10:(3.16)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:pres2hmed}{res}{center 10:-2.043}{res}{center 10:-0.621}{res}{center 10:-1.357}{res}{center 10:-1.314}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.69)}{res}{center 10:(0.40)}{res}{center 10:(1.70)}{res}{center 10:(1.53)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:pres2fb}{res}{center 10:1.770}{res}{center 10:-1.300}{res}{center 10:-1.634}{res}{center 10:-2.805}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.11)}{res}{center 10:(0.55)}{res}{center 10:(2.26)*}{res}{center 10:(2.65)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:whlobby3}{res}{center 10:0.443}{res}{center 10:0.428}{res}{center 10:0.450}{res}{center 10:0.445}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(6.53)**}{res}{center 10:(6.41)**}{res}{center 10:(7.09)**}{res}{center 10:(6.91)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:salience}{res}{center 10:0.021}{res}{center 10:0.021}{res}{center 10:0.020}{res}{center 10:0.020}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(2.23)*}{res}{center 10:(2.21)*}{res}{center 10:(1.97)*}{res}{center 10:(1.86)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:keyvote}{res}{center 10:-0.151}{res}{center 10:-0.138}{res}{center 10:-0.197}{res}{center 10:-0.185}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}{res}{center 10:(0.79)}{res}{center 10:(1.20)}{res}{center 10:(1.10)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:honey}{res}{center 10:-0.139}{res}{center 10:-0.173}{res}{center 10:0.102}{res}{center 10:-0.113}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.37)}{res}{center 10:(0.45)}{res}{center 10:(0.54)}{res}{center 10:(0.54)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:lameduck}{res}{center 10:0.440}{res}{center 10:0.872}{res}{center 10:0.227}{res}{center 10:0.531}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(1.59)}{res}{center 10:(0.76)}{res}{center 10:(1.53)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:tenure}{res}{center 10:-0.248}{res}{center 10:-0.279}{res}{center 10:0.130}{res}{center 10:0.026}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.24)}{res}{center 10:(1.35)}{res}{center 10:(1.46)}{res}{center 10:(0.29)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:capavg3}{res}{center 10:0.171}{res}{center 10:0.321}{res}{center 10:0.253}{res}{center 10:0.262}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.71)}{res}{center 10:(2.55)*}{res}{center 10:(3.57)**}{res}{center 10:(3.63)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:events}{res}{center 10:0.059}{res}{center 10:0.046}{res}{center 10:0.111}{res}{center 10:0.062}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.14)}{res}{center 10:(0.89)}{res}{center 10:(2.97)**}{res}{center 10:(1.59)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:jfk}{res}{center 10:-0.367}{res}{center 10:-0.567}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.25)}{res}{center 10:(1.85)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:jfklbj}{res}{center 10:0.251}{res}{center 10:-0.013}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.55)}{res}{center 10:(0.03)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:lbj}{res}{center 10:1.402}{res}{center 10:1.334}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(2.76)**}{res}{center 10:(2.68)**}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:nixon}{res}{center 10:-0.382}{res}{center 10:0.054}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.88)}{res}{center 10:(0.10)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:nixfrd}{res}{center 10:-0.876}{res}{center 10:-0.227}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.38)}{res}{center 10:(0.34)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:ford}{res}{center 10:-0.433}{res}{center 10:-0.051}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.95)}{res}{center 10:(0.10)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:carter}{res}{center 10:0.581}{res}{center 10:0.797}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.91)}{res}{center 10:(2.51)*}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:bush41}{res}{center 10:-0.391}{res}{center 10:-0.316}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.56)}{res}{center 10:(1.30)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:clinton}{res}{center 10:0.209}{res}{center 10:0.129}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(0.66)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:bush43}{res}{center 10:-0.837}{res}{center 10:-0.225}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(1.08)}{res}{center 10:(0.29)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:winner}{txt}{lalign 13:csup2log}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.026}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:0.023}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.24)*}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.50)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:FPpollcong}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.908}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-1.311}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(1.15)}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.05)*}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:civilrights}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.676}{res}{center 10:-0.690}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(3.78)**}{res}{center 10:(3.94)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:energy}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.413}{res}{center 10:-0.441}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.69)**}{res}{center 10:(2.80)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:health}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.638}{res}{center 10:-0.630}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(4.36)**}{res}{center 10:(4.17)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:welfare}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.315}{res}{center 10:-0.311}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(1.98)*}{res}{center 10:(1.92)}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:housing}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.366}{res}{center 10:-0.396}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.74)**}{res}{center 10:(2.78)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:education}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:-0.335}{res}{center 10:-0.354}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:}{res}{center 10:(2.80)**}{res}{center 10:(3.03)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:_cons}{res}{center 10:-0.932}{res}{center 10:0.093}{res}{center 10:1.790}{res}{center 10:3.103}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:(0.61)}{res}{center 10:(0.05)}{res}{center 10:(1.91)}{res}{center 10:(2.70)**}}
{center:{txt}{lalign 8:N}{txt}{lalign 13:}{res}{center 10:744}{res}{center 10:744}{res}{center 10:744}{res}{center 10:744}}
{txt}{center:{hline 63}}
{txt}{center:* p<0.05; ** p<0.01}


{com}. 
. **** GALLUP APPROVAL INSTEAD OF POLITICAL CAPITAL ***
. 
. probit winner pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure gallup events , robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-510.06395}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-428.37848}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-428.05659}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-428.05653}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-428.05653}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       769
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}10{txt}){col 67}= {res}    146.25
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-428.05653{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1608

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.284568{col 26}{space 2} .5743119{col 37}{space 1}   -2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4}-2.410199{col 67}{space 3}-.1589372
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.879533{col 26}{space 2} .5369024{col 37}{space 1}   -3.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.931842{col 67}{space 3}-.8272236
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4604607{col 26}{space 2} .0672676{col 37}{space 1}    6.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3286186{col 67}{space 3} .5923029
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0313196{col 26}{space 2} .0108857{col 37}{space 1}    2.88{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4}  .009984{col 67}{space 3} .0526552
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2171773{col 26}{space 2} .1720286{col 37}{space 1}   -1.26{col 46}{space 3}0.207{col 54}{space 4}-.5543471{col 67}{space 3} .1199925
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1610623{col 26}{space 2} .1669259{col 37}{space 1}    0.96{col 46}{space 3}0.335{col 54}{space 4}-.1661063{col 67}{space 3}  .488231
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0970563{col 26}{space 2} .2740807{col 37}{space 1}    0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.723{col 54}{space 4} -.440132{col 67}{space 3} .6342446
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1345557{col 26}{space 2} .0916086{col 37}{space 1}    1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.142{col 54}{space 4}-.0449939{col 67}{space 3} .3141053
{txt}{space 6}gallup {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0090963{col 26}{space 2}  .005941{col 37}{space 1}    1.53{col 46}{space 3}0.126{col 54}{space 4}-.0025478{col 67}{space 3} .0207404
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0597691{col 26}{space 2} .0309738{col 37}{space 1}    1.93{col 46}{space 3}0.054{col 54}{space 4}-.0009383{col 67}{space 3} .1204766
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.453023{col 26}{space 2} .7620488{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.057{col 54}{space 4}-.0405647{col 67}{space 3} 2.946612
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit winner ysup2log FPpollyr ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure gallup events if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-409.16145}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-408.56538}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-408.56488}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-408.56488}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}    157.47
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-408.56488{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1757

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}ysup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0164469{col 26}{space 2} .0069766{col 37}{space 1}    2.36{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4}  .002773{col 67}{space 3} .0301208
{txt}{space 4}FPpollyr {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.400468{col 26}{space 2} .4693679{col 37}{space 1}   -2.98{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4}-2.320412{col 67}{space 3}-.4805241
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0647028{col 26}{space 2} .0189846{col 37}{space 1}    3.41{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0274937{col 67}{space 3} .1019119
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.344621{col 26}{space 2} .7685134{col 37}{space 1}   -1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4} -2.85088{col 67}{space 3} .1616376
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.188437{col 26}{space 2} .6491976{col 37}{space 1}   -3.37{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-3.460841{col 67}{space 3} -.916033
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .454009{col 26}{space 2}  .064938{col 37}{space 1}    6.99{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3267329{col 67}{space 3} .5812851
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0232364{col 26}{space 2} .0098333{col 37}{space 1}    2.36{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4} .0039635{col 67}{space 3} .0425094
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1390912{col 26}{space 2} .1754813{col 37}{space 1}   -0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.428{col 54}{space 4}-.4830282{col 67}{space 3} .2048458
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0211662{col 26}{space 2} .1821945{col 37}{space 1}    0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.908{col 54}{space 4}-.3359285{col 67}{space 3} .3782609
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3771456{col 26}{space 2} .2969682{col 37}{space 1}    1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.204{col 54}{space 4}-.2049013{col 67}{space 3} .9591925
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1290762{col 26}{space 2} .0913603{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.158{col 54}{space 4}-.0499867{col 67}{space 3}  .308139
{txt}{space 6}gallup {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0096302{col 26}{space 2} .0063937{col 37}{space 1}    1.51{col 46}{space 3}0.132{col 54}{space 4}-.0029011{col 67}{space 3} .0221616
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0829122{col 26}{space 2} .0340764{col 37}{space 1}    2.43{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .0161237{col 67}{space 3} .1497008
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.061473{col 26}{space 2} .8511813{col 37}{space 1}    2.42{col 46}{space 3}0.015{col 54}{space 4} .3931884{col 67}{space 3} 3.729758
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. probit winner csup2log FPpollcong ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure gallup events if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{res}{txt}Iteration 0:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-495.63879}  
Iteration 1:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-410.35473}  
Iteration 2:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-409.89458}  
Iteration 3:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-409.89437}  
Iteration 4:{space 3}log pseudolikelihood = {res:-409.89437}  
{res}
{txt}Probit regression{col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       744
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}13{txt}){col 67}= {res}    157.67
{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-409.89437{txt}{col 51}Pseudo R2{col 67}= {res}    0.1730

{txt}{ralign 78:(Std. Err. adjusted for {res:54} clusters in issuecode)}
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 14}{c |}{col 26}    Robust
{col 1}      winner{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      z{col 46}   P>|z|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}csup2log {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0277539{col 26}{space 2} .0091958{col 37}{space 1}    3.02{col 46}{space 3}0.003{col 54}{space 4} .0097305{col 67}{space 3} .0457774
{txt}{space 2}FPpollcong {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.882048{col 26}{space 2} .6141052{col 37}{space 1}   -3.06{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4}-3.085672{col 67}{space 3}-.6784236
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0913199{col 26}{space 2} .0267125{col 37}{space 1}    3.42{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} .0389645{col 67}{space 3} .1436754
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.205591{col 26}{space 2} .8218262{col 37}{space 1}   -1.47{col 46}{space 3}0.142{col 54}{space 4}-2.816341{col 67}{space 3} .4051583
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.330804{col 26}{space 2} .9908659{col 37}{space 1}   -3.36{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4}-5.272865{col 67}{space 3}-1.388742
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4549498{col 26}{space 2} .0663455{col 37}{space 1}    6.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .3249149{col 67}{space 3} .5849846
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0220596{col 26}{space 2}   .01031{col 37}{space 1}    2.14{col 46}{space 3}0.032{col 54}{space 4} .0018524{col 67}{space 3} .0422669
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1150768{col 26}{space 2}  .178625{col 37}{space 1}   -0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.519{col 54}{space 4}-.4651754{col 67}{space 3} .2350217
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2190858{col 26}{space 2} .2074229{col 37}{space 1}   -1.06{col 46}{space 3}0.291{col 54}{space 4}-.6256271{col 67}{space 3} .1874555
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7358405{col 26}{space 2}  .341167{col 37}{space 1}    2.16{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4} .0671655{col 67}{space 3} 1.404516
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0157317{col 26}{space 2} .0938332{col 37}{space 1}    0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.867{col 54}{space 4} -.168178{col 67}{space 3} .1996414
{txt}{space 6}gallup {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0067847{col 26}{space 2} .0059884{col 37}{space 1}    1.13{col 46}{space 3}0.257{col 54}{space 4}-.0049522{col 67}{space 3} .0185217
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0316918{col 26}{space 2} .0357376{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.375{col 54}{space 4}-.0383526{col 67}{space 3} .1017362
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.626803{col 26}{space 2} 1.075399{col 37}{space 1}    3.37{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 1.519059{col 67}{space 3} 5.734546
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. **** FIGURE ON COMPARATIVE MARGINAL EFFECTS - ANNUAL DATA ***
. 
. 
. **** ESTIMATED EFFECTS ***
. 
. 
. 
. estsimp probit winner ysup2log FPpollyr ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events if cqyear<2002, robust cluster(issuecode)

{txt}Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-495.63879
{txt}Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = {res} -405.9781
{txt}Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-403.68399
{txt}Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = {res}-403.67653

{txt}Probit regression                                 Number of obs   = {res}       744
                                                  {txt}Wald chi2({res}13{txt})   = {res}    167.82
                                                  {txt}Prob > chi2     = {res}    0.0000
{txt}Log pseudolikelihood = {res}-403.67653                 {txt}Pseudo R2       = {res}    0.1855

                             {txt}(Std. Err. adjusted for {res}54{txt} clusters in issuecode)
{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 64}
             {c |}               Robust
      winner {c |}      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 64}
    ysup2log {c |}  {res} .0139806   .0067272     2.08   0.038     .0007955    .0271656
    {txt}FPpollyr {c |}  {res} -1.16648   .4562016    -2.56   0.011    -2.060619   -.2723415
     {txt}ycaslog {c |}  {res} .0594643   .0192726     3.09   0.002     .0216908    .0972378
   {txt}pres2hmed {c |}  {res}-1.438459   .7845895    -1.83   0.067    -2.976226    .0993083
     {txt}pres2fb {c |}  {res}-1.567911     .71013    -2.21   0.027     -2.95974   -.1760813
    {txt}whlobby3 {c |}  {res} .4563748   .0636122     7.17   0.000     .3316973    .5810524
    {txt}salience {c |}  {res} .0220678   .0096323     2.29   0.022     .0031889    .0409467
     {txt}keyvote {c |}  {res}-.1514635   .1753243    -0.86   0.388    -.4950928    .1921658
       {txt}honey {c |}  {res} .1076602   .1869955     0.58   0.565    -.2588442    .4741646
    {txt}lameduck {c |}  {res}  .195914   .3002899     0.65   0.514    -.3926434    .7844714
      {txt}tenure {c |}  {res} .1351614   .0889405     1.52   0.129    -.0391587    .3094816
     {txt}capavg3 {c |}  {res} .2443665    .070375     3.47   0.001     .1064341    .3822989
      {txt}events {c |}  {res} .1049114   .0365246     2.87   0.004     .0333245    .1764983
       {txt}_cons {c |}  {res} 1.350831   .8988509     1.50   0.133    -.4108842    3.112547
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 64}

{res}Simulating main parameters.  Please wait....

Note: Clarify is expanding your dataset from 769 observations to 1000
observations in order to accommodate the simulations.  This will append
missing values to the bottom of your original dataset.

% of simulations completed: 7% 14% 21% 28% 35% 42% 50% 57% 64% 71% 78% 85% 92% 100% 

Number of simulations  : 1000
Names of new variables : b1 b2 b3 b4 b5 b6 b7 b8 b9 b10 b11 b12 b13 b14
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *** BASELINE PROBABILITY WITH FP Poll ***
. 
. 
. setx ysup2log 59 FPpollyr 1 ycaslog 0 pres2hmed 1 pres2fb 1.2 whlobby3 2 salience 2.8 keyvote 1 honey 0 lameduck 0 tenure 2 capavg3 2 events 3 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. simqi

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
              Pr(winner=0) |  {res} .6567733     .0846572     .4821993    .8079028
              {txt}Pr(winner=1) |  {res} .3432267     .0846572     .1920972    .5178007
{txt}
{com}. 
. *** BASELINE PROBABILITY WITHOUT FP Poll ***
. 
. 
. setx ysup2log 0 FPpollyr 0 ycaslog 0 pres2hmed 1 pres2fb 1.2 whlobby3 2 salience 2.8 keyvote 1 honey 0 lameduck 0 tenure 2 capavg3 2 events 2 
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. simqi

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
              Pr(winner=0) |  {res} .5720126     .0911968     .3879001    .7509798
              {txt}Pr(winner=1) |  {res} .4279874     .0911968     .2490202    .6120999
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MARGINAL EFFECTS ***
. 
. setx ysup2log 59 FPpollyr 1 ycaslog 0 pres2hmed 1 pres2fb 1.2 whlobby3 2 salience 2.8 keyvote 1 honey 0 lameduck 0 tenure 2 capavg3 2 events 3
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *** FP SUPPORT ***
. 
. 
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(ysup2log 37 78)

{res}First Difference: ysup2log 37 78

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res}-.1969038     .0946822    -.3826477   -.0105356
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res} .1969038     .0946822     .0105356    .3826476
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** HOUSE MEDIAN ***
. 
. 
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(pres2hmed .83 1.18)

{res}First Difference: pres2hmed .83 1.18

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res} .1789366     .1020931    -.0107433    .3791786
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res}-.1789366     .1020931    -.3791786    .0107433
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** SENATE FILIBUSTER ***
. 
. 
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(pres2fb .95 1.35)

{res}First Difference: pres2fb .95 1.35

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res} .2219084     .0986088     .0160811    .4171531
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res}-.2219084     .0986088    -.4171531    -.016081
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** WHITE HOUSE LOBBYING ***
. 
. 
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(whlobby 0 2)

{res}First Difference: whlobby 0 2

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res}-.2439993     .0507991    -.3433916    -.147408
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res} .2439993     .0507991      .147408    .3433916
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** ISSUE SALIENCE ***
. 
. 
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(salience .3 20)

{res}First Difference: salience .3 20

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res}-.1616955     .0667426      -.28443   -.0285084
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res} .1616955     .0667426     .0285084      .28443
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** POLITICAL CAPITAL ***
. 
. 
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(capavg3 1 3)

{res}First Difference: capavg3 1 3

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res}-.1718408     .0502108    -.2738293   -.0748418
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res} .1718408     .0502108     .0748418    .2738293
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** EXTERNAL EVENTS ***
. 
. 
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(events 1 6)

{res}First Difference: events 1 6

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res}-.1887797     .0616333    -.3042319   -.0666972
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res} .1887797     .0616333     .0666972    .3042319
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. **** FIGURE COMPARING MID to NO MID DEPENDING ON SUPPORT ****
. 
. 
. setx ysup2log 0 FPpollyr 0 ycaslog 0 pres2hmed 1 pres2fb 1.2 whlobby3 2 salience 2.8 keyvote 1 honey 0 lameduck 0 tenure 2 capavg3 2 events 3
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. **** NO MID TO 30% SUPPORT ***
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(ysup2log 0 30 FPpollyr 0 1)

{res}First Difference: ysup2log 0 30 FPpollyr 0 1

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res} .2509263     .0903274     .0639932    .4184806
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res}-.2509263     .0903274    -.4184806   -.0639932
{txt}
{com}. 
. *** NO MID TO 50% SUPPORT ***
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(ysup2log 0 50 FPpollyr 0 1)

{res}First Difference: ysup2log 0 50 FPpollyr 0 1

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res} .1683093     .0697026     .0320079    .3068852
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res}-.1683093     .0697026    -.3068852   -.0320079
{txt}
{com}. 
. *** NO MID TO 80% SUPPORT ***
. 
. simqi fd(pr) changex(ysup2log 0 80 FPpollyr 0 1)

{res}First Difference: ysup2log 0 80 FPpollyr 0 1

{txt}      Quantity of Interest |     Mean       Std. Err.    [95% Conf. Interval]
---------------------------+--------------------------------------------------
           dPr(winner = 0) |  {res} .0167498     .0771975    -.1372733    .1604875
           {txt}dPr(winner = 1) |  {res}-.0167498     .0771975    -.1604875    .1372733
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. *** AUXILIARY REGRESSIONS ****
. 
. reg ysup2log FPpollyr ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events civilrights energy health welfare housing education if cqyear<2002

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     744
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 18,   725) ={res}  263.24
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 427649.388    18  23758.2993           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 65433.0683   725  90.2525081           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.8673
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.8640
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 493082.456   743  663.637222           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 9.5001

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    ysup2log{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 4}FPpollyr {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.40162{col 26}{space 2} 1.016392{col 37}{space 1}   63.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  62.4062{col 67}{space 3} 66.39705
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.464642{col 26}{space 2} .1308752{col 37}{space 1}  -11.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-1.721581{col 67}{space 3}-1.207702
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-40.43083{col 26}{space 2} 5.765059{col 37}{space 1}   -7.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-51.74904{col 67}{space 3}-29.11263
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.31882{col 26}{space 2} 5.149404{col 37}{space 1}   11.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  49.2093{col 67}{space 3} 69.42835
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7770548{col 26}{space 2} .4451807{col 37}{space 1}    1.75{col 46}{space 3}0.081{col 54}{space 4}-.0969424{col 67}{space 3} 1.651052
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0355221{col 26}{space 2} .0571792{col 37}{space 1}    0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.535{col 54}{space 4}-.0767345{col 67}{space 3} .1477786
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5873283{col 26}{space 2} 1.113996{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.598{col 54}{space 4}-1.599715{col 67}{space 3} 2.774371
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.151267{col 26}{space 2} 1.130017{col 37}{space 1}    6.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.932771{col 67}{space 3} 9.369764
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-7.789854{col 26}{space 2} 2.077233{col 37}{space 1}   -3.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-11.86796{col 67}{space 3}-3.711743
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3138824{col 26}{space 2} .7425626{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.673{col 54}{space 4}-1.143947{col 67}{space 3} 1.771712
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.600827{col 26}{space 2} .4745254{col 37}{space 1}    5.48{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.669219{col 67}{space 3} 3.532435
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1600898{col 26}{space 2} .2608513{col 37}{space 1}   -0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.540{col 54}{space 4}-.6722038{col 67}{space 3} .3520242
{txt}{space 1}civilrights {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.229714{col 26}{space 2} 2.307041{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.594{col 54}{space 4}-3.299564{col 67}{space 3} 5.758993
{txt}{space 6}energy {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8626478{col 26}{space 2} 2.226674{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.699{col 54}{space 4}-3.508851{col 67}{space 3} 5.234147
{txt}{space 6}health {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2380947{col 26}{space 2} 2.164374{col 37}{space 1}    0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.912{col 54}{space 4}-4.011094{col 67}{space 3} 4.487284
{txt}{space 5}welfare {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.011771{col 26}{space 2} 2.234806{col 37}{space 1}    0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.651{col 54}{space 4}-3.375692{col 67}{space 3} 5.399234
{txt}{space 5}housing {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .673852{col 26}{space 2} 2.191687{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.759{col 54}{space 4}-3.628959{col 67}{space 3} 4.976663
{txt}{space 3}education {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8281055{col 26}{space 2} 2.184525{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.705{col 54}{space 4}-3.460644{col 67}{space 3} 5.116855
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-37.95044{col 26}{space 2} 5.963359{col 37}{space 1}   -6.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-49.65795{col 67}{space 3}-26.24293
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. reg csup2log FPpollcong ycaslog pres2hmed pres2fb whlobby3 salience keyvote honey lameduck tenure capavg3 events civilrights energy health welfare housing education if cqyear<2002

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     744
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 18,   725) ={res}  292.99
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 195322.491    18  10851.2495           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 26850.9821   725  37.0358373           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.8791
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.8761
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 222173.473   743  299.022171           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 6.0857

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}    csup2log{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}FPpollcong {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.68859{col 26}{space 2} 1.269535{col 37}{space 1}   47.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 58.19619{col 67}{space 3}   63.181
{txt}{space 5}ycaslog {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.263136{col 26}{space 2} .0808855{col 37}{space 1}  -27.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-2.421933{col 67}{space 3}-2.104338
{txt}{space 3}pres2hmed {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-22.26718{col 26}{space 2} 3.700885{col 37}{space 1}   -6.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-29.53291{col 67}{space 3}-15.00145
{txt}{space 5}pres2fb {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 75.11193{col 26}{space 2} 3.400367{col 37}{space 1}   22.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 68.43618{col 67}{space 3} 81.78767
{txt}{space 4}whlobby3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6442256{col 26}{space 2} .2859512{col 37}{space 1}    2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.025{col 54}{space 4} .0828343{col 67}{space 3} 1.205617
{txt}{space 4}salience {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0655631{col 26}{space 2} .0367075{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.075{col 54}{space 4}-.0065026{col 67}{space 3} .1376288
{txt}{space 5}keyvote {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.551882{col 26}{space 2} .7138622{col 37}{space 1}   -0.77{col 46}{space 3}0.440{col 54}{space 4}-1.953366{col 67}{space 3} .8496018
{txt}{space 7}honey {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   12.592{col 26}{space 2}  .722359{col 37}{space 1}   17.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 11.17383{col 67}{space 3} 14.01017
{txt}{space 4}lameduck {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-20.27428{col 26}{space 2}  1.32573{col 37}{space 1}  -15.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-22.87701{col 67}{space 3}-17.67155
{txt}{space 6}tenure {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.30046{col 26}{space 2} .4733769{col 37}{space 1}    6.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 2.371107{col 67}{space 3} 4.229813
{txt}{space 5}capavg3 {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.616739{col 26}{space 2} .3139815{col 37}{space 1}    5.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.000318{col 67}{space 3} 2.233161
{txt}{space 6}events {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.137114{col 26}{space 2} .1645357{col 37}{space 1}    6.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} .8140907{col 67}{space 3} 1.460137
{txt}{space 1}civilrights {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.187115{col 26}{space 2} 1.478129{col 37}{space 1}    0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.422{col 54}{space 4} -1.71481{col 67}{space 3} 4.089039
{txt}{space 6}energy {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8587233{col 26}{space 2} 1.426551{col 37}{space 1}    0.60{col 46}{space 3}0.547{col 54}{space 4}-1.941941{col 67}{space 3} 3.659388
{txt}{space 6}health {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0110484{col 26}{space 2} 1.386858{col 37}{space 1}    0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.994{col 54}{space 4}-2.711688{col 67}{space 3} 2.733785
{txt}{space 5}welfare {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3715994{col 26}{space 2} 1.431975{col 37}{space 1}    0.26{col 46}{space 3}0.795{col 54}{space 4}-2.439713{col 67}{space 3} 3.182912
{txt}{space 5}housing {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.018591{col 26}{space 2} 1.404105{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.468{col 54}{space 4}-1.738007{col 67}{space 3} 3.775189
{txt}{space 3}education {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9447003{col 26}{space 2} 1.399418{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.500{col 54}{space 4}-1.802696{col 67}{space 3} 3.692097
{txt}{space 7}_cons {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-77.33224{col 26}{space 2} 3.821432{col 37}{space 1}  -20.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}-84.83463{col 67}{space 3}-69.82985
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. clear
{txt}
{com}. 
. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}/Users/cgelpi/Desktop/FPLegSuccessAJPS14.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 5 Jun 2014, 11:36:35
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}